2017 College Pick-Em Big Bowl Bash

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toddpedlar

Iron Dramatist
Alright - Here is the 2017 Big Bowl Bash.

The format:

The 40 games must be selected by 12:00 EST, December 16, kickoff time for the Air Force Reserve Celebration Bowl. This INCLUDES your selection for the National Championship Game - which must be one of the two you pick for the winners of the National Semifinals.

I have decided that the Hawaii Bowl, which is played on the Lord's Day, 12/24, is NOT part of the roster of games to be selected.

Games are sorted into Tiers in which:

Games up through December 24 are worth 1 point.
Most games between December 26 and January 1 are worth 2 points
The Non-Playoff New Years Six games are worth 4 points
The Semifinals, AND the Final are worth 8 points

I did not increase the Final to 16 points because you gain a significant advantage in your Finals selection by correctly selecting both semifinals. Making the final worth 16 points would vastly over-rate that one game relative to everything else, as a result, and essentially make it very likely that no matter how poorly one does with the other 37 games, if you pick all three of the playoff games correctly you're essentially going to win the contest... and that doesn't seem appropriate.

I have tested this and the system gives a good balance between the games up to the playoffs and the playoff games themselves - so that both are meaningful, but the playoff games are a significant (but not dominant) key to victory.

If two or more players have the same total after the playoffs I have a 3-tiered tiebreak system

1) The Championship game selection (1 or 0)
2) The semifinal games (2, 1, or 0)
3) The total number of games correctly selected (equal weighting for all 41 games)
4) Number of regular season weekly victories

This should be sufficient. The system is not terribly likely to generate a tie in the first place, but if it does, these 4 levels of tiebreaker seem never to fail after extensive testing.

The Competitors:

Our weekly winners:

Claudiu :flamingscot:
Douglas Padgett :flamingscot::flamingscot::flamingscot:
earl40 :flamingscot:
Edm :flamingscot:
Edward :flamingscot:
GreenBaggins :flamingscot:
Kainos :flamingscot:
SolaScriptura :flamingscot::flamingscot:
toddpedlar :flamingscot::flamingscot::flamingscot:
 

toddpedlar

Iron Dramatist
The Games (in parentheses is the weighting for the particular game):

All times Eastern

(1) Celebration Bowl, 12:00 12/16 on ABC: Grambling vs. North Carolina A&T
(1) New Orleans Bowl, 13:00 12/16 on ESPN: Troy vs. North Texas
(1) Cure Bowl, 14:30 12/16 on CBSSN: Georgia State vs. Western Kentucky
(1) Las Vegas Bowl, 15:30 12/16 on ABC: Boise State vs. Oregon
(1) New Mexico Bowl, 16:30 12/16 on ESPN: Marshall vs. Colorado State
(1) Camellia Bowl, 20:00 12/16 on ESPN: Arkansas State vs. Middle Tennessee
(1) Boca Raton Bowl, 19:00 12/19 on ESPN: FAU vs. Akron
(1) Frisco Bowl, 20:00 12/20 on ESPN: SMU vs. Louisiana Tech
(1) Gasparilla Bowl, 20:00 12/21 on ESPN: FIU vs. Temple
(1) Bahamas Bowl, 12:30 12/22 on ESPN: Ohio vs. UAB
(1) Potato Bowl, 16:00 12/22 on ESPN: CMU vs. Wyoming
(1) Birmingham Bowl, 12:00 12/23 on ESPN: USF vs. Texas Tech
(1) Armed Forces Bowl, 15:30 12/23 on ESPN: Army vs. San Diego State
(1) Dollar General Bowl, 19:00 12/23 on ESPN: Appalachian State vs. Toledo

The Hawaii Bowl, played on the Lord's Day, is NOT part of the roster of games

(2) Heart of Dallas Bowl, 13:30 12/26 on ESPN: Utah vs. West Virginia
(2) Quick Lane Bowl, 17:15 12/26 on ESPN: Duke vs. NIU
(2) Cactus Bowl, 21:00 12/26 on ESPN: Kansas State vs. UCLA
(2) Independence Bowl, 13:30 12/27 on ESPN: Florida State vs. Southern Miss
(2) Pinstripe Bowl, 17:15 12/27 on ESPN: Boston College vs. Iowa
(2) Foster Farms Bowl, 20:30 12/27 on FOX: Arizona vs. Purdue
(2) Texas Bowl, 21:00 12/27 on ESPN: Texas vs. Missouri
(2) Military Bowl, 13:30 12/28 on ESPN: Virginia vs. Navy
(2) Camping World Bowl, 17:15 12/28 on ESPN: Oklahoma State vs. Virginia Tech
(2) Holiday Bowl, 21:00 12/28 on FS1: Michigan State vs. Washington State
(2) Alamo Bowl, 21:00 12/28 on ESPN: Stanford vs. TCU
(2) Belk Bowl, 13:00 12/29 on ESPN: Wake Forest vs. Texas A&M
(2) Sun Bowl, 15:00 12/29 on CBS: Arizona State vs. NC State
(2) Music City Bowl, 16:30 12/29 on ESPN: Kentucky vs. Northwestern
(2) Arizona Bowl, 17:30 12/29 on CBSSN: New Mexico State vs. Utah State
(2) TaxSlayer Bowl, 12:00 12/30 on ESPN: Mississippi State vs. Louisville
(2) Liberty Bowl, 12:30 12/30 on ABC: Memphis vs. Iowa State
(2) Outback Bowl, 12:00 1/1 on ESPN2: Michigan vs. South Carolina
(2) Citrus Bowl, 13:00 1/1 on ABC: Notre Dame vs. LSU

(4) Cotton Bowl, 20:30 12/29 on ESPN: Ohio State vs. USC
(4) Fiesta Bowl, 16:00 12/30 on ESPN: Penn State vs. Washington
(4) Orange Bowl, 20:00 12/30 on ESPN: Miami vs. Wisconsin
(4) Peach Bowl, 12:30 1/1 on ESPN: Auburn vs. UCF

(8) Rose Bowl Playoff semifinal, 17:00 1/1 on ESPN: Oklahoma vs. Georgia
(8) Sugar Bowl Playoff semifinal, 20:45 1/1 on ESPN: Clemson vs. Alabama

(8) National Championship, 20:00 1/8 on ESPN: Rose winner vs. Sugar winner

Again, it has been a pleasure filling in this second half of the season, and planning and hosting this championship. Have fun!
 

SolaScriptura

Puritanboard Snowflake
So that everyone is clear: Do we need to provide projected final scores to the Championship or any other game in this year's Bowl Bash?
 

SolaScriptura

Puritanboard Snowflake
Well, it has been another enjoyable season! A HUGE thank you to Todd for stepping in midway through the season - as usual, you did a marvelous job!

Below are my picks for the upcoming bowl games...

Tier 1

Celebration Bowl = North Carolina A&T
New Orleans Bowl = Troy
Cure Bowl = Western Kentucky
Las Vegas Bowl = Oregon
New Mexico Bowl = Colorado State
Camellia Bowl = Arkansas State
Boca Raton Bowl = FAU
Frisco Bowl = SMU
Gasparilla Bowl = Temple
Bahamas Bowl = Ohio
Potato Bowl = CMU
Birmingham Bowl = USF
Armed Forces Bowl = San Diego State
Dollar General Bowl = Toledo

Tier 2
Heart of Dallas Bowl = Utah
Quick Lane Bowl = Duke
Cactus Bowl = Kansas State
Independence Bowl = Florida State
Pinstripe Bowl = Iowa
Foster Farms Bowl = Purdue
Texas Bowl = Missouri
Military Bowl = Navy
Camping World Bowl = Oklahoma State
Holiday Bowl = Michigan State
Alamo Bowl = TCU
Belk Bowl = Wake Forest
Sun Bowl = NC State
Music City Bowl = Northwestern
Arizona Bowl = New Mexico State
TaxSlayer Bowl = Louisville
Liberty Bowl = Iowa State
Outback Bowl = Michigan
Citrus Bowl = Notre Dame

Tier 3
Cotton Bowl = Ohio State
Fiesta Bowl = Penn State
Orange Bowl = Wisconsin
Peach Bowl = UCF

Tier 4
Rose Bowl = Oklahoma
Sugar Bowl = Clemson
National Championship = Oklahoma
 

earl40

Puritan Board Professor
North Carolina A&T
Troy
Western Kentucky
Oregon
Colorado State
Middle Tennessee
FAU
SMU
Temple
UAB
CMU
USF
Army
Appalachian State



West Virginia
Duke
UCLA
Southern Miss
Iowa
Arizona
Texas
Virginia
Oklahoma State
Michigan State
TCU
Texas A&M
NC State
Northwestern
Utah State
Mississippi State
Memphis
Michigan
LSU

Ohio State
Penn State
Miami
Auburn :(

Georgia
Clemson

Georgia
 

greenbaggins

Administrator
Staff member
Tier 1:
Grambling
Troy
Georgia State
Boise State
Colorado State
Arkansas State
FAU
SMU
FIU
Ohio
Wyoming
USF
San Diego State
Toledo

Tier 2:
West Virginia
Northern Illinois
Kansas State
Florida State
Iowa
Arizona
Missouri (go Texas!)
Navy
Oklahoma State
Michigan State
TCU
Texas A&M
NC State
Northwestern
New Mexico State
Louisville
Memphis
Michigan
Notre Dame

Tier 3:
USC
Penn State
Wisconsin
Auburn

Tier 4:
Georgia
Alabama

Tier 5:
Georgia
 
Last edited:

Edward

Puritanboard Commissioner
The problem with picking too early is that you can't take into account the end of semester arrests. We've got a couple of pot arrests for Georgia at this point, and a felony at Texas A&M. Any I've missed so far?
 

BG

Puritan Board Junior
The problem with picking too early is that you can't take into account the end of semester arrests. We've got a couple of pot arrests for Georgia at this point, and a felony at Texas A&M. Any I've missed so far?
I’m sure they will all be on parole by game time.
 

Edward

Puritanboard Commissioner
(1)
Grambling
Troy
Georgia State
Oregon
Colorado State
Arkansas State
FAU
Louisiana Tech
FIU
Ohio
Wyoming
Texas Tech
San Diego State
Toledo

(2)
Utah
Duke
Kansas State
Florida State
Iowa
Arizona
Texas
Navy
Oklahoma State
Washington State
TCU
Texas A&M
NC State
Northwestern
New Mexico State
Mississippi State
Memphis
Michigan
LSU

(4)
Ohio State
Penn State
Wisconsin
Auburn

(8)
Georgia
Alabama

(8) National Championship
Georgia
 

toddpedlar

Iron Dramatist
(1) Celebration Bowl, 12:00 12/16 on ABC: Grambling vs. North Carolina A&T
(1) New Orleans Bowl, 13:00 12/16 on ESPN: Troy vs. North Texas
(1) Cure Bowl, 14:30 12/16 on CBSSN: Georgia State vs. Western Kentucky
(1) Las Vegas Bowl, 15:30 12/16 on ABC: Boise State vs. Oregon
(1) New Mexico Bowl, 16:30 12/16 on ESPN: Marshall vs. Colorado State
(1) Camellia Bowl, 20:00 12/16 on ESPN: Arkansas State vs. Middle Tennessee
(1) Boca Raton Bowl, 19:00 12/19 on ESPN: FAU vs. Akron
(1) Frisco Bowl, 20:00 12/20 on ESPN: SMU vs. Louisiana Tech
(1) Gasparilla Bowl, 20:00 12/21 on ESPN: FIU vs. Temple
(1) Bahamas Bowl, 12:30 12/22 on ESPN: Ohio vs. UAB
(1) Potato Bowl, 16:00 12/22 on ESPN: CMU vs. Wyoming
(1) Birmingham Bowl, 12:00 12/23 on ESPN: USF vs. Texas Tech
(1) Armed Forces Bowl, 15:30 12/23 on ESPN: Army vs. San Diego State
(1) Dollar General Bowl, 19:00 12/23 on ESPN: Appalachian State vs. Toledo

The Hawaii Bowl, played on the Lord's Day, is NOT part of the roster of games

(2) Heart of Dallas Bowl, 13:30 12/26 on ESPN: Utah vs. West Virginia
(2) Quick Lane Bowl, 17:15 12/26 on ESPN: Duke vs. NIU
(2) Cactus Bowl, 21:00 12/26 on ESPN: Kansas State vs. UCLA
(2) Independence Bowl, 13:30 12/27 on ESPN: Florida State vs. Southern Miss
(2) Pinstripe Bowl, 17:15 12/27 on ESPN: Boston College vs. Iowa
(2) Foster Farms Bowl, 20:30 12/27 on FOX: Arizona vs. Purdue
(2) Texas Bowl, 21:00 12/27 on ESPN: Texas vs. Missouri
(2) Military Bowl, 13:30 12/28 on ESPN: Virginia vs. Navy
(2) Camping World Bowl, 17:15 12/28 on ESPN: Oklahoma State vs. Virginia Tech
(2) Holiday Bowl, 21:00 12/28 on FS1: Michigan State vs. Washington State
(2) Alamo Bowl, 21:00 12/28 on ESPN: Stanford vs. TCU
(2) Belk Bowl, 13:00 12/29 on ESPN: Wake Forest vs. Texas A&M
(2) Sun Bowl, 15:00 12/29 on CBS: Arizona State vs. NC State
(2) Music City Bowl, 16:30 12/29 on ESPN: Kentucky vs. Northwestern
(2) Arizona Bowl, 17:30 12/29 on CBSSN: New Mexico State vs. Utah State
(2) TaxSlayer Bowl, 12:00 12/30 on ESPN: Mississippi State vs. Louisville
(2) Liberty Bowl, 12:30 12/30 on ABC: Memphis vs. Iowa State
(2) Outback Bowl, 12:00 1/1 on ESPN2: Michigan vs. South Carolina
(2) Citrus Bowl, 13:00 1/1 on ABC: Notre Dame vs. LSU

(4) Cotton Bowl, 20:30 12/29 on ESPN: Ohio State vs. USC
(4) Fiesta Bowl, 16:00 12/30 on ESPN: Penn State vs. Washington
(4) Orange Bowl, 20:00 12/30 on ESPN: Miami vs. Wisconsin
(4) Peach Bowl, 12:30 1/1 on ESPN: Auburn vs. UCF

(8) Rose Bowl Playoff semifinal, 17:00 1/1 on ESPN: Oklahoma vs. Georgia
(8) Sugar Bowl Playoff semifinal, 20:45 1/1 on ESPN: Clemson vs. Alabama

(8) National Championship, 20:00 1/8 on ESPN: Clemson
 

Edm

Puritan Board Freshman
(1 Grambling
(1) Troy
(1) Western Kentucky
(1) Oregon
(1) Marshall
(1 Middle Tennessee
(1) FAU
(1Louisiana Tech
(1 Temple
(1) UAB
(1) Wyoming
Texas Tech
(1) Army
(1) Appalachian State

The Hawaii Bowl, played on the Lord's Day, is NOT part of the roster of games

(2) West Virginia
(2) NIU
(2) UCLA
(2) Florida State
(2) Iowa
(2) Purdue
(2) Texas
(2) Virginia
(2) Virginia Tech
(2) Michigan State
(2) TCU
(2) Texas A&M
(2)NC State
(2) : Kentucky
(2) Utah State
(2) Mississippi State
(2 Memphis
(2) South Carolina
(2) LSU

(4) Ohio State
(4) Washington
(4) Wisconsin
(4) Auburn

(8) Georgia
(8) Alabama

(8) National Championship, Alabama

man, that was some work there....
 

toddpedlar

Iron Dramatist
Ok - the pumpkin hour has passed. Next year's Pick 'Em runner will be one of these six: (with their championship semifinals and finals listed here for fun - noting that it may not matter how well they pick those games if the rest of the bowls went sour)

Sola Scriptura: OK, CLEM, OK
Earl: GA, CLEM, GA
Greenbaggins: GA, BAMA, GA
Edward: GA, BAMA, GA
Edm: GA, BAMA, BAMA
Toddpedlar: OK, CLEM, CLEM
 

toddpedlar

Iron Dramatist
None of us had a particularly stellar first day - what a mass of middling prognosticators that we are!

Big Bowl Bash Standings after games of December 16 (totals out of 5 points possible):

Earl40, GreenBaggins, Edm: 3
SolaScriptura, Edward, toddpedlar: 2
 

SolaScriptura

Puritanboard Snowflake
None of us had a particularly stellar first day - what a mass of middling prognosticators that we are!

Big Bowl Bash Standings after games of December 16 (totals out of 5 points possible):

Earl40, GreenBaggins, Edm: 3
SolaScriptura, Edward, toddpedlar: 2
I wonder if the scores will be this close this time next week!
 

Edm

Puritan Board Freshman
I was tricked...you waited till we had picked before you announced that the winner would be running this next year....
 

SolaScriptura

Puritanboard Snowflake
Perhaps a worthy addition to next year’s season is: guess how many players will be arrested within 3 weeks of the end of regular season.
 

toddpedlar

Iron Dramatist
Update after the Tier 1 games:

Edm has a commanding 1 point lead over earl40, with GreenBaggins another point back, and then Edward, SolaScriptura, and toddpedlar bringing up the rear. Tier 2 games count for double, and start tomorrow:

Out of 14 possible points:

Edm: 9
earl40: 8
GreenBaggins: 7
Edward, SolaScriptura, toddpedlar: 6
 

SolaScriptura

Puritanboard Snowflake
Update after the Tier 1 games:

Edm has a commanding 1 point lead over earl40, with GreenBaggins another point back, and then Edward, SolaScriptura, and toddpedlar bringing up the rear. Tier 2 games count for double, and start tomorrow:

Out of 14 possible points:

Edm: 9
earl40: 8
GreenBaggins: 7
Edward, SolaScriptura, toddpedlar: 6
Edm is out front... but I have a feeling things will get exciting this week!
 

Edm

Puritan Board Freshman
I'm hoping so. I have no intention of winning... that's not one of my habits..:surrender:
 

toddpedlar

Iron Dramatist
After the Dec. 26 games, there's a bit different complexion... still, it's anyone's game!

Sola Scriptura and Edward: 12
toddpedlar and earl40: 10
GreenBaggins and Edm: 9
 

toddpedlar

Iron Dramatist
A couple great football games yesterday, and a couple of blowouts... and while there's a bit more separation after the games of Dec 27, it's still anybody's game (kudos to Edm on a perfect day yesterday!):

Sola Scriptura and Edward: 18
Edm: 17
toddpedlar: 16
earl40: 14
Greenbaggins: 13
 
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